investing in global system changes.

economics-led sustainable investing. 


The global economy is changing. Deep system changes are transforming markets, the industrial and commercial landscape, and wider society. Led by economic fundamentals, the Sustainability Revolution is driving us towards a new economic model – one that is net zero, nature-positive, socially constructive, and digitally enabled. 

Throughout history, our economy has undergone many era-defining system changes, from the transition to fossil fuels to the digital revolution. Across all sectors, we believe this is happening again – at unprecedented speed and scale.

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key systems.


Investors are living in a time of upheaval: new geopolitical alliances are forming; trade routes and relationships are shifting; advances in AI are taking place at speed; and the on-the-ground impacts of climate change are becoming ever more severe.

In all this noise, it is easy to lose focus on the long-term story – the transformations taking place in the systems that underpin our economy and wider society. For many years, the sustainability conversation has focussed narrowly on carbon emissions and the transition away from fossil fuels. This misses much of the huge investment opportunity that is emerging as every aspect of our economy undergoes a fundamental metamorphosis – not merely a shift along a spectrum, but a change in form, from an economy built on extraction and waste, to one built on circularity, nature-positivity, and social accessibility. 

We believe the tectonic plates are shifting. We know, because across our more-than 230-year history we’ve seen it many times before. 

 

economics-led. 


As with all fundamental system changes, today’s transformations are driven not by ideology or policy, but by economics. Efficiency, productivity, innovation, real-world solutions – the systems that win will be those that outperform the incumbents.  

This is the pattern of history – new systems emerging that bring scalable solutions to the structural challenges of the day. Where the shift from wood-burning to coal power solved the energy crisis of the 17th century, and the transition to railways solved the capacity and efficiency limitations of horse-drawn carriages, today’s system transformations focus on the climate crisis, nature loss, failing healthcare systems, and the consequences of changing social demographics. 

Climate change and the
cost of climate change

In many parts of the world, the increasing frequency and severity of wildfires and floods has led to property insurance hikes.

Biodiversity and
nature loss

Soil degradation is threatening food inflation and putting food supply chains at risk. 

Physical changes
to our environment

Heatwaves and drought are reducing crop yields and forcing cities to invest in adaptation measures.

Healthcare
affordability

Crumbling health systems are leading to increased health inequality and ever-longer patient waiting times.

Challenges to
public finances

An escalating pensions bill threatens overwhelming government shortfalls.

Digital
tsunami

A flood of digital options has created an over-abundance of choice without democratising access. A digital divide is growing. 

In the face of these challenges, our established economic system has become unsustainable – we have reached the limits of scalability, efficiency, and resource availability. Now, however, humanity’s endless capacity to innovate has put us on the verge of an economic revolution that will come to define the future of our species and our planet. 

Forward-thinking businesses are recognising the emergence of new economic systems by adapting their business models to enable continued, sustainable growth. Led by economics, these innovators and early adapters are driving the transition to a new economic end-state. 

From today’s linear, wasteful, unsustainable model, we are moving to a net-zero, nature-positive, socially constructive, and digitally enabled economy.

sustainability insights.

Today, we are on the verge of breaching the Paris Agreement target of limiting global warming to a rise of 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The impacts are already evident, with droughts, floods, hurricanes, and wildfires increasingly threatening crops, homes, livelihoods, and water supplies.

As some governments roll back efforts to cut emissions, questions are being asked about the future of sustainable investing. We believe, however, that delayed action acts as an elastic band – the longer the delay, the sharper the response. Whether the journey is smooth or abrupt, the destination remains the same – a net-zero economy.

As the leading source of emissions, the energy system will sit at the centre of this transition. Electrification – powered by renewables, battery storage, and smart grids – will transform how energy is produced and consumed, while decarbonisation reshapes business models and profit pools across the economy.

Natural ecosystems are the backbone of the economy, providing the resources and ecosystem services on which businesses and societies depend. Yet nature is being depleted at an unprecedented rate, degrading land, threatening biodiversity, and weakening a vital carbon sink.

As we reach the ‘end of abundance’, nature’s true value and the cost of nature harms will increasingly be priced into products and services. We believe this will accelerate the shift from today’s linear economy to a circular bioeconomy that works in harmony with nature.

Food, agriculture, and manufacturing will sit at the heart of this transition, as they adopt more regenerative, circular, and resource-efficient models. At the same time, advances in data and monitoring will increase transparency, helping investors, regulators, and consumers to favour those businesses that have a positive impact on nature.

Globalisation and economic growth have lifted more than one billion people out of extreme poverty7, while significantly increasing life expectancy8 and living standards around the world.

Yet demographic shifts, rising healthcare costs, and growing pressure on public finances are straining social systems and forcing governments to rethink the social contract. We believe this will create opportunities for businesses that can deliver personalised, affordable, and accessible products and services at scale.

Healthcare will move from treating illness to preventing it, supported by advances in AI, data analysis, and personalised medicine. More broadly, greater connectivity and digitalisation will expand access to services, economic opportunity, and financial security across society.

AI, cloud computing, semiconductors, and big data are becoming the digital spine of this economy-wide transformation, accelerating innovation and helping lower the cost of sustainable products and services.

Digital technologies will be essential to the net-zero and nature-positive transitions, enabling smarter energy systems, more efficient resource use, and greater transparency across supply chains.

Technology will also support a more socially constructive economy through greater personalisation, accessibility, and affordability. While the expansion of the digital sector brings sustainability challenges of its own, we believe digital solutions will remain a powerful enabler of the wider transition.

our strategy.


Through science-based analysis and partnerships we have built with experts across numerous disciplines, we put our understanding of system change at the heart of our investment approach. Across our investment universe, we seek to understand how the deep-rooted transformations taking place in energy, industrial, consumer, health, financial, and digital systems will impact business models and long-term profitability. Across these systems we believe opportunities are emerging where the market is mispricing the risks and opportunities created as climate change and extreme weather, nature degradation and biodiversity loss, and social fragmentation and an ageing demographic force long-term system changes on today’s established economic model.

Having identified those businesses that we believe are set to benefit from the transition, we deploy fundamental analysis to search for price dislocations, where the commercial opportunity has been mispriced by markets yet to wake up to the system changes happening beneath their feet. 

While we always take a long-term approach, we are not targeting returns at an unspecified future date – but now. By overlayering system change analysis with fundamental, bottom-up analysis, we build diversified, risk-managed, high-conviction global and thematic portfolios, founded not on hope or the changing winds of public policy, but on economic fundamentals. 


We are living through a unique time
 

We are living through a time of great uncertainty. But it is also a time of unprecedented opportunity. In a tumultuous economic environment, system change analysis provides a means to ground investment outlooks in economic reality. Put simply, the world is changing, and investors must change with it. What worked yesterday will not work today. 

We believe that sustainable investing is essential for preserving and growing our clients’ wealth over the long term. Away from the short-term noise and the latest ‘breaking news’, the tectonic plates of global system change are shifting. As we transition to a net-zero, nature-positive, socially constructive, and digitally enabled economic end-state, businesses and investors must take action, or risk missing a once-in-a-century economic revolution.

where we are.

Our heritage is Swiss, yet our outlook and mind set are resolutely international. With over 25 offices globally, we are able to serve our clients all over the world.

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