In Japan, the steady uptrend in wages and rebound in activity will ease concerns surrounding negative 1st quarter GDP growth; despite its dovish talk, the Bank of Japan is engaged in a “silent tapering”.
Some of the predictions for how working life will change in the 21st century are stark. That has sparked much hand-wringing about how humans will adapt, how economies will evolve, and how investors might benefit.
The Eurozone economy has taken a breather, but the softness recorded year-to-date does not herald a sustained downturn and the central bank has committed to remaining accommodative for longer.
Leading indicators are not pointing to a US recession anytime soon – particularly since the Federal Reserve has no reason to speed-up its policy tightening.
We continue to assume that trade tensions will remain contained but must recognise that the prospect of a trade war has become a risk warranting serious consideration.
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