insights.

As one of the defining events of recent economic history, most investors will remember where they were when the global financial crisis began. In the summer of 2007, I remember being called off vacation and returning to my office on news that BNP Paribas had suspended three funds exposed to the US subprime mortgage market. What happened next is, of course, history. Looking back, 10 years on, there are parts of the economy, asset classes and industries that are yet to recover – and lessons that are yet to be learned. By Stephane Monier, Head of Investments for Lombard Odier.

Plusieurs facteurs économiques expliquent l'appréciation de la monnaie unique, particulièrement face au franc suisse et au dollar. Analyse de l'impact potentiel de cet essor.

Article publié dans Bilan le 16 août 2017
Par Samy Chaar, Chef économiste, Lombard Odier

Le bouleversement du rôle traditionnel des obligations et les valorisations élevées des actions poussent les investisseurs à repenser l’allocation d’actifs traditionnelle. Place à un nouveau moteur de performance, l’approche «cœur» et «satellites», capable de mieux répondre aux attentes des investisseurs aujourd’hui et demain.

Article publié dans Le Temps du 7 août 2017
Par Hubert Keller, Associé gérant du Groupe Lombard Odier

Europe’s insurance industry is the world’s largest, boasting almost 5,000 companies and employing over a million people. Its products can offer some interesting wealth planning opportunities for individuals across the continent. Here we consider some potential benefits – and risks –  for fictional clients living in France, Spain and the UK.

This year at Lombard Odier, we celebrate a true milestone. It’s been 30 years since our Independent Asset Management business was founded. 

With Brazil’s President Michel Temer formally charged with corruption last month, the country has entered a new period of political instability which could pose a threat to the recent economic rebound. Delays to crucial reforms would make the country’s recovery more difficult in the short term, but Brazil is undergoing a democratic revolution in transparency that we believe investors can be optimistic about. Even if political uncertainties remain, economic reforms are in progress, writes Stephane Monier, Head of Investments for Lombard Odier.

Charities in the UK were quiet around the country’s EU Referendum vote in June 2016.  Except for those lamenting the likely loss of EU funding, the majority of charities in the UK did not see Brexit as a pressing priority, since most deliver their services in the UK.

Emerging markets were star performers in the first half of 2017, and we retain our long-standing overweight to emerging market equities and local currency debt. Here we consider risks ahead - in US rates, oil, China and Brazil – and how investors should navigate this changing landscape.

Stéphane Monier
Head of Investments, Lombard Odier Private Bank

The value of Bitcoin more than doubled in the three months to end-June, making it the world’s best performing currency in the second quarter. Back in January 2016, a Bitcoin was worth about 430 US dollars (USD); today it is worth more than USD 2,5001.

The “goldilocks” economic environment of improving growth and stable inflation  leads us to maintain our risk-on investment stance.

Now that political concerns have abated, investor focus is shifting back to fundamentals. The particularly improved picture in the Eurozone warrants continued preference for European equities.

The corollary is that an inflexion point in ECB non-conventional monetary measures lies ahead, quite probably the main game changer of coming quarters: we have thus begun to position portfolios for euro appreciation.

The impact of a tighter ECB stance on European bond markets will need to be closely monitored: higher core yields, wider spreads?

Oil seems the only potential disruptive factor in this ultra-low volatility world. At this point, we reaffirm our range-bound scenario.

Asian economic and trade conditions are looking good, with China progressively replacing the US as the dominant force in the region.

Reduced dependence on the US market makes Asian exporters less vulnerable to any protectionist measures that could be taken by the Trump administration.

Downside risks to the Russian economy have subsided, but the same cannot be said about Brazilian politics.

Euroscepticism is on the wane, after a series of populist party defeats in recent elections. Nevertheless, the situation in Italy and the popularity of Five Star Movement bear close monitoring.

The European economic recovery is broadening, with improving external demand adding to already robust domestic activity.

Progressive (rather than sharp) ECB policy normalisation is likely going forward.

The multi-year recovery of the US economy proceeds apace, with no signs of overheating.

The lack of inflationary pressures should limit the Fed’s leeway to raise rates much further, paving the way for balance sheet management.

Recession signals are also absent for now, pushing that risk out at least 12 to 18 months.

Investment Strategy Podcast

Stéphane Monier
Head of Investments, Private Banking

Samy Chaar
Chief Economist

Halfway into the year, let us pause to reflect on the global economic and financial situation. The good news is that many of the risks outlined in our 2017 outlook have abated, buttressing our view that a worldwide recession is not on the horizon.

Lombard Odier won 'Western Europe's Best Bank for Wealth Management' at the prestigious Euromoney Awards for Excellence 2017 on Thursday 6 July – one of the industry’s most coveted awards.

Lombard Odier has been named Western Europe's Best Bank for Wealth Management for 2017 by Euromoney, the leading global financial publication, at its prestigious annual Awards for Excellence.

What’s the key to unlocking eco-friendly food production and consumption? We examine the ambitious pioneers who aspire to meet the growing demands of a burgeoning population in their own unique way. Beginning in Taiwan’s S Café, we discover a new fabric comprised of leftover coffee ground; we then move to Berlin where Infarm has developed leading-edge technology to control vertical farms in the city centre; and we finish in Lisbon with the Muita Fruta app where locals and tourists can map, harvest and care for fruit trees and even make jam to help finance the project.

What’s the key to unlocking eco-friendly food production and consumption? We examine the ambitious pioneers who aspire to meet the growing demands of a burgeoning population in their own unique way. Beginning in Taiwan’s S Café, we discover a new fabric comprised of leftover coffee ground; we then move to Berlin where Infarm has developed leading-edge technology to control vertical farms in the city centre; and we finish in Lisbon with the Muita Fruta app where locals and tourists can map, harvest and care for fruit trees and even make jam to help finance the project.

Lombard Odier and its guests had a private viewing of stunning Impressionist and Modern Art masterpieces from the 20th century, at Christie’s auction house.

Avec leurs 70 milliards de francs de capital, les fondations suisses injectent chaque année entre 1 et 2 milliards de francs dans des causes d’intérêt public.

Article publié dans Le Temps du 18 juin 2017
Par Patrick Odier, Associé Senior du Groupe Lombard Odier

By 2050, 70 per cent of the global population will live in cities. The need to feed so many mouths and reduce our carbon footprint will become crucial to city sustainability. In collaboration with Monocle, this year’s Quality of Life Survey examines novel ways to grow, rear and distribute food. Part of our Rethink Everything philosophy centres on re-imagining and re-evaluating the world around us. In this survey, we aim to explore the self-sufficient cities of the future.

The Fondation Lombard Odier awarded the 18th Extraordinary Voyages Prize at L’Abri – a cultural space for young talent in Geneva. Five travel-oriented projects submitted by seven secondary school seniors were rewarded by the jury.

By 2050, there will be over 9 billion people living on Earth. That’s an increase of more than 20% from today’s 7.5 billion, but, according to the FAO, (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations), food production will have to go up by 60% to meet the growing demand associated with another 1.5 billion inhabitants.

Lombard Odier has a leadership role in foundations. An interview with Patrick Odier in le Temps coincides with the publication of the annual report of SwissFoundations. Read more about the foundations landscape in Switzerland.

Before founding Connecterra, Yasir has held various roles with Microsoft across technology and business management overseeing annual revenues in excess of $700M. Starting in 1997, he co-founded his first company that provided e-commerce development consulting to international customers. His second venture, Interactive Software Ltd built content management systems for the broadcast industry. He later joined Microsoft in the Middle East overseeing the technology architecture of large regional technology projects.

Lombard Odier was honoured with two awards at the annual WealthBriefing European Awards 2017 last night, winning ‘Best Marketing/PR Campaign,’ and ‘Best Customer Facing Digital Capabilities’ for the UK private bank.

Lombard Odier was awarded the ‘Private Bank of the Year - Boutique’ award at the annual Citywealth Magic Circle Awards held in London on Wednesday 10 May.

Many of the world’s most pressing challenges are environmental. Around the world, wealthy individuals are engaged in helping solve challenges in areas such as biodiversity and species preservation, clean energy, sustainable agriculture and food systems, coastal and marine ecosystems. The environment is an area where our “rethink everything” approach can add exceptional value to our clients’ endeavours.

Rethinking China – a leader in trade and climate action
Sometimes, the most powerful forms of leadership come from the least expected places. As the US takes a more protectionist line, pulling away from its leadership position in trade and climate change, an unlikely new leader is taking its place.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is set to spark the next industrial revolution. While the benefits of AI in the workplace are obvious, the impact on employment in the short term is predicted, almost universally, to be dire. But this picture is too simplistic, and it needs a fresh look. Here's why the evolution of employment and the workplace over the next half century could be much more gentle, and much more interesting, than you thought.

Lombard Odier Group has decided to build its new headquarters on a 27,400 m2 plot in Bellevue (Geneva) in order to bring all its staff together under one roof.

Agriculture is one of the biggest contributors to climate change through deforestation, water consumption and methane emissions. How will the industry evolve to maintain growth while easing its environmental impact?

Present-day abundance of financial information has created a complex world for investors. Some of the facts and data might not be based on truth. While the markets have always had to deal with misinformation, the growing use of technology has allowed for an exponential diffusion of contentious stories.

While many fear the rise of a robot population that is inherently smarter than us, artificial intelligence could be the most liberating technology humans have ever devised. Perhaps we just need to prepare for it.

There is a new status quo in the world of power and ambition. Millennial entrepreneurs lead the charge in innovation and investment, and there are more millionaires under the age of 21 than ever before. But as bedrooms become boardrooms and university assignments become the next tech start-ups, how will this new generation change the face of wealth?

Rethinking impact investment: the third dimension
By Bertrand Gacon, Head of Impact Investing

The race to space is on (again). But will the new frontier for private investment in Space deliver returns?
By Andrew Pemberton

Does Brexit really signal the end for globalisation?
By John Arlidge

Rethinking the Fix for Income Returns
By Salman Ahmed, Chief Investment Strategist Lombard Odier Investment Managers

Are The Stars Aligning For Emerging Market Investments?
By Salman Ahmed, Chief Investment Strategist Lombard Odier Investment Managers

Next year will mark the 50^th anniversary of Neil Armstrong becoming the first man to walk on the moon, making history before an audience of some 530 million people. Since then, and even by those remarkable standards, space exploration has come a long way. Countless satellites and unmanned probes have been launched into orbit, NASA's Curiosity rover vehicle has been sending back images from Mars and the idea of space tourism is increasingly realistic.

Personalised learning technology can liberate students from a one-size-fits-all curriculum, but what role can investment play in building the new era of education?

Article published in Le Temps, July 9, 2018
Patrick Odier, Senior Managing Partner, Lombard Odier Group

Wedged in between a toasted brioche bun with thick slices of red onion and tomato, the Beyond Meat burger looks like a respectable staple at a diner. Likewise Gardein's Crispy Tenders have the look and feel of breaded crispy chicken, golden brown on the outside with a crunch to the bite.

The most stretching ideas in education are those that address gaps we feel exist but find hard to fill from our existing stock of answers

I’m very pleased to see and hear that the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are being adopted as a standard by political, economic and societal stakeholders. This is important not just because it enables a commonality of language and understanding, but also because that, in turn, can be a powerful force for change.