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The dollar and 2020 US presidential elections

Investment Solutions - Strategy

Dear Investors,

Please find below our last Investment Strategy Bulletin as of
29 November 2019.

The dollar and 2020 US presidential elections: protectionism and trade policies at the forefront

The US presidential elections are scheduled for November 2020
Though too early to speculate on the outcome, we discuss potential dollar implications under different presidencies
We view the risks as tilted towards USD downside in case of a Trump or Warren presidency – something which could, however, be completely turned on its head under a scenario of a significant step up in protectionism and re-escalation in trade wars
Biden and Bloomberg are more likely to provide a return to mainstream policies, allowing the dollar to trade more in line with relative economic developments.

Best regards,
The FX Strategy team

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