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US recession -
are we nearly there yet?
Investment Solutions - Chief Investment Officer
 
 

Dear Investors,

 

This week we look at a number of US economic indicators, some of which point to a slowdown. But are we close to the end of the decade-old bull market, or a recession?

 

Key takeaways:

  • The US faces political turmoil and contradictory economic signals
     
  • We are watching for signs that the decade-old bull market is weakening
     
  • US consumer spending is holding up and unemployment is still low but manufacturing and services are in decline
     
  • The Sahm Rule offers a new indicator
     
  • While there is some weak data, we see no short-term recession threat.
     

Best regards,

Stéphane Monier
Chief Investment Officer, Lombard Odier Private Bank

 
 
 
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The late bull market and new approaches
 
 

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The late bull market and new approaches

 

October 2, 2019

 
 
 
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